Brian Kemp
Not ranked: no presidency market
Polymarket doesn’t list a presidential-winner market for Brian Kemp, so there is nothing to divide.
- Win nomination
- 0.5% 10th among Republicans
- Win presidency
- – Bid –, ask –
- Range from bid and ask
- – No presidency market
- Republican average
- 49.4% Ranked candidates, weighted
Over time
Market prices
Each contract pays $1 if it comes true, so its price reads as a probability: 0.5¢ means 0.5%. The index uses the midpoint between the best bid and ask.
| Market | Bid | Ask | Midpoint |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins the nomination Open on Polymarket | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Wins the presidency | No market on Polymarket | ||
Observed . Trading fees are not deducted.
Market rules
Nomination market
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
What this number can’t tell you
It isn’t a head-to-head poll. Each figure describes a different future, in which the opponent, the economy and the campaign may all differ. A higher number doesn’t prove that nominating this candidate would raise the party’s chances by the same amount. Independent runs, party switches, replacement nominees and plain market error can all break the calculation.